According
to business dictionary Forecasting is
a planning tool that
helps management in its attempts to cope with
the uncertainty of the future, relying mainly
on data from the past and present and analysis of trends.
Previously
we explain the Workforce Planning and we referred to forecasting as a step of
workforce planning,
- “Recognize the differences and the gaps between workforce demand and workforce supply by forecast both demand and supply.”
If we consider the workforce planning is the
heart of strategic staffing then the workforce forecasting is the heart of
workforce planning.
In workforce planning process we have to
forecast both labour demand and labour supply to find out the estimated numbers
of needed employees.
Forecasting labour demand:
Forecasting labour demand is the process of estimating the future numbers of people
required, the likely skills and competences will need, to make it more simple
and to know what exactly the meaning of forecasting labour demand and what the
purpose of it, we have to answer this question:
When
should hire more worker and when should downsize employees?
The main controller in the hiring or laying-off processes is the
products; when products demand increase that’s mean the firm must Increase the
production capacity, which leads to increase the human capital in the firm …
and more employees.
And
vice versa; when products demand decrease firm must laying off some employees.
The
firms can forecast labour demand both externally, based on product demand; Seasonal
demand, rate forecast, interest rate, exchange rate, competition-based for. And
internally by using several methods such as Managerial judgement, ratio-trend analysis, scatter plots.
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